Machine Learning and Mobile Phone Data Can Improve the Targeting of Humanitarian Assistance
       
     
Micro-estimates of wealth for all low- and middle-income countries
       
     
Violence and Financial Decisions: Evidence from Mobile Money in Afghanistan
       
     
Public mobility data enables COVID-19 forecasting and management at local and global scales
       
     
The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic
       
     
Machine learning can help get COVID-19 aid to those who need it most
       
     
New Jersey's Rising Coastal Risk
       
     
Enforcing sovereign property rights reduces unauthorized fishing
       
     
Clear, Present and Underpriced: The Physical Risks of Climate Change
       
     
Destructive Behavior, Judgment, and Economic Decision-making under Thermal Stress
       
     
Strengthened scientific support for the Endangerment Finding for atmospheric greenhouse gases
       
     
The Distribution of Environmental Damages
       
     
Spatial Correlation, Trade, and Inequality: Evidence from the Global Climate
       
     
An Economist's Guide to Climate Change Science
       
     
Accounting for Unobservable Heterogeneity in Cross Section Using Spatial First Differences
       
     
Estimating global agricultural effects of geoengineering using volcanic eruptions
       
     
Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico
       
     
Letter - Ivory crisis: Growing no-trade consensus
       
     
Correspondence - Climate and conflict: no stigma
       
     
Reply to Plewis, Murari et al., and Das: The suicide–temperature link in India and the evidence of an agricultural channel are robust
       
     
Temperature and Human Capital in the Short- and Long-Run
       
     
Ground Control to Major Tom: the importance of field surveys in remotely sensed data analysis
       
     
Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India
       
     
Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States
       
     
The Marginal Product of Climate
       
     
Collective Action in Networks: Evidence from the Chilean Student Movement
       
     
Social and economic impacts of climate
       
     
Does Legalization Reduce Black Market Activity? Evidence from a Global Ivory Experiment and Elephant Poaching Data
       
     
Potentially Extreme Population Displacement and Concentration in the Tropics Under Non-Extreme Warming
       
     
Conflict in a changing climate
       
     
Climate Econometrics
       
     
Opportunities for advances in climate change economics
       
     
Temperature and Temperament: Evidence from a billion tweets
       
     
Distorted Quality Signals in School Markets
       
     
Losing Your Dictator: Firms During Political Transition
       
     
Start-Up Nation? Slave Wealth and Entrepreneurship in Civil War Maryland
       
     
Tropical Cyclones: From the Influence of Climate to Their Socioeconomic Impacts
       
     
Global Non-linear Effect of Temperature on Economic Production
       
     
Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus
       
     
Climate and Conflict
       
     
Geography, Depreciation, and Growth
       
     
War and local collective action in Sierra Leone: A comment on the use of coefficient stability approaches
       
     
Tropical Economics
       
     
The Causal Effect of Environmental Catastrophe on Long-Run Economic Growth: Evidence From 6,700 Cyclones
       
     
Does the Environment Still Matter? Daily Temperature and Income in the United States
       
     
Reconciling climate-conflict meta-analyses: reply to Buhaug et al.
       
     
Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters
       
     
Drug Trafficking Organizations and Local Economic Activity in Mexico
       
     
Temperature and Violence
       
     
Climate, Conflict and Social Stability: What does the evidence say?
       
     
Reconciling Temperature-conflict Results in Kenya
       
     
Reconciling disagreement over climate–conflict results in Africa
       
     
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict
       
     
Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change
       
     
Destruction, Disinvestment, and Death: Economic and Human Losses Following Environmental Disaster
       
     
Visually-Weighted Regression
       
     
Adaptation to Cyclone Risk: Evidence from the Global Cross-Section
       
     
Civil Conflicts are associated with the global climate
       
     
Can Land Reform Avoid a Left Turn? Evidence from Chile after the Cuban Revolution
       
     
Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America
       
     
Local Impacts of Trade Liberalization: Evidence from the Chilean Agricultural Sector
       
     
Machine Learning and Mobile Phone Data Can Improve the Targeting of Humanitarian Assistance
       
     
Machine Learning and Mobile Phone Data Can Improve the Targeting of Humanitarian Assistance

Emily Aiken, Suzanne Bellue, Dean Karlan, Chris Udry and Joshua E. Blumenstock, Nature (2022)

Link to paper

Selected coverage: The Conversation, NPR, BBC, Wired, Reuters, FastCompany, Berkeley CDSS

Micro-estimates of wealth for all low- and middle-income countries
       
     
Micro-estimates of wealth for all low- and middle-income countries

Guanghua Chi, Han Fang, Sourav Chatterjee and Joshua E. Blumenstock, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2022)

Link to paper

Press Coverage

Interactive Portal

Dataset

Violence and Financial Decisions: Evidence from Mobile Money in Afghanistan
       
     
Violence and Financial Decisions: Evidence from Mobile Money in Afghanistan

Joshua E. Blumenstock, Michael Callen, Tarek Ghani and Robert Gonzalez, Review of Economics and Statistics (2022)

Link to paper

Public mobility data enables COVID-19 forecasting and management at local and global scales
       
     
Public mobility data enables COVID-19 forecasting and management at local and global scales

Cornelia Ilin, Sébastien Annan-Phan, Xiao Hui Tai, Shikhar Mehra, Solomon Hsiang & Joshua E. Blumenstock, Nature Scientific Reports (2021)

Link to paper

The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic
       
     
The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic

S Hsiang, D Allen, S Annan-Phan, K Bell, I Bolliger, T Chong, H Druckenmiller, LY Huang, A Hultgren, E Krasovich, P Lau, J Lee, E Rolf, J Tseng and T Wu, Nature (2020)

Link to paper

Resource page

Berkeley press release

Selected coverage

Machine learning can help get COVID-19 aid to those who need it most
       
     
Machine learning can help get COVID-19 aid to those who need it most

Joshua E. Blumenstock, Nature (2020)

Link to paper

New Jersey's Rising Coastal Risk
       
     
New Jersey's Rising Coastal Risk

Hess, Delgado, Hamidi, Houser, Kopp, Bolliger, Hsiang, Greenstone, (2019).

Link to static report

https://njcoastalrisk.com/

Enforcing sovereign property rights reduces unauthorized fishing
       
     
Enforcing sovereign property rights reduces unauthorized fishing

Englander, Nature Sustainability (2019)

Link to report

Link to blog item

Clear, Present and Underpriced: The Physical Risks of Climate Change
       
     
Clear, Present and Underpriced: The Physical Risks of Climate Change

Rhodium Group. (2019).

Link to report

Destructive Behavior, Judgment, and Economic Decision-making under Thermal Stress
       
     
Destructive Behavior, Judgment, and Economic Decision-making under Thermal Stress

Almås, Auffhammer, Bold, Bolliger, Dembo, Hsiang, Kitamura, Miguel, Pickmans, NBER Working Paper 25785 (2019)

Link to paper

Strengthened scientific support for the Endangerment Finding for atmospheric greenhouse gases
       
     
Strengthened scientific support for the Endangerment Finding for atmospheric greenhouse gases

Duffy, Field, Diffenbaugh, Doney, Dutton, Goodman, Heinzerling, Hsiang, Lobell, Mickley, Myers, Natali, Parmesan, Tierney, Williams, Science (2019)

Link to paper

The Distribution of Environmental Damages
       
     
The Distribution of Environmental Damages

S Hsiang, P Oliva, WR Walker, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy (2019)

Link to paper

Spatial Correlation, Trade, and Inequality: Evidence from the Global Climate
       
     
Spatial Correlation, Trade, and Inequality: Evidence from the Global Climate

Dingel, Meng, and Hsiang, NBER Working Paper 25447 (2019)

Link to paper

An Economist's Guide to Climate Change Science
       
     
An Economist's Guide to Climate Change Science

Hsiang & Kopp, Journal of Economic Perspectives (2018)

Link to paper (nber)

Accounting for Unobservable Heterogeneity in Cross Section Using Spatial First Differences
       
     
Accounting for Unobservable Heterogeneity in Cross Section Using Spatial First Differences

Druckenmiller & Hsiang, NBER Working Paper 25177 (2018)

Link to paper (nber, arxiv)

Code is posted here.

Estimating global agricultural effects of geoengineering using volcanic eruptions
       
     
Estimating global agricultural effects of geoengineering using volcanic eruptions

Proctor, Hsiang, Burney, Burke, Schlenker, Nature (2018)

Link to paper (ungated here)

Resource page (FAQs, graphics, videos, data)

Selected coverage: The Washington Post, Scientific American, The Atlantic, Wired, New York, The Guardian, Axios, Science, Reuters

Berkeley press release

Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico
       
     
Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico

Burke, Gonzalez, Baylis, Heft-Neal, Baysan, Basu, Hsiang, Nature Climate Change (2018)

Link to paper (ungated here)

Selected coverage: TIME, USA Today, Bloomberg, Scientific American, the Atlantic, SF Chronicle, CNN, World Economic Forum, Reuters, Technology Review, Fortune, Financial Times

Letter - Ivory crisis: Growing no-trade consensus
       
     
Letter - Ivory crisis: Growing no-trade consensus

N Sekar, W Clark, A Dobson, P Coelho, P Hannam, R Hepworth, S Hsiang, P Kahumbu, P Lee, K Lindsay, C Lopes Pereira, S Wasser, K Nowak, Science (2018)

Link to paper

Correspondence - Climate and conflict: no stigma
       
     
Correspondence - Climate and conflict: no stigma

Hsiang, S & M Burke, Nature (2018)

Link to paper

Reply to Plewis, Murari et al., and Das: The suicide–temperature link in India and the evidence of an agricultural channel are robust
       
     
Reply to Plewis, Murari et al., and Das: The suicide–temperature link in India and the evidence of an agricultural channel are robust

T Carleton, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2017)

Link to paper

Temperature and Human Capital in the Short- and Long-Run
       
     
Temperature and Human Capital in the Short- and Long-Run

Graff Zivin, J. S.M. Hsiang, M. Neidell, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists (2018)

Link to paper

Coverage: Washington Post

Ground Control to Major Tom: the importance of field surveys in remotely sensed data analysis
       
     
Ground Control to Major Tom: the importance of field surveys in remotely sensed data analysis

I Bolliger, T Carleton, S Hsiang, J Kadish, J Proctor, B Recht, E Rolf, V Shankar, Bloomberg Data for Good Exchange (2017)

Link to paper

Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India
       
     
Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India

T Carleton, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2017)

Link to paper

Selected coverage: AP, Washington Post, The Guardian, National GeographicThe Indian Express, The Wire

Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States
       
     
Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States

Hsiang, Kopp, Jina, Rising, Delgado, Mohan, Rasmussen, Muir-Wood, Wilson, Oppenheimer, Larsen, Houser, Science (2017)

Link to paper

Technical Appendix

Perspective commentary by Billy Pizer

Data visualization of results

Resource page (simplified data output)

Blog description

Full data archive

Selected coverage: Economist, NYT, Atlantic, AP, WP, TIME, USA Today, NPR, CBS, Newsweek, Reuters, Forbes

The Marginal Product of Climate
       
     
The Marginal Product of Climate

Deryugina, T., & S. Hsiang, NBER Working Paper 24072 (2016)

Link to paper

Collective Action in Networks: Evidence from the Chilean Student Movement
       
     
Collective Action in Networks: Evidence from the Chilean Student Movement

F. González, Job Market Paper (2016)

Link to paper

Social and economic impacts of climate
       
     
Social and economic impacts of climate
Potentially Extreme Population Displacement and Concentration in the Tropics Under Non-Extreme Warming
       
     
Potentially Extreme Population Displacement and Concentration in the Tropics Under Non-Extreme Warming
Conflict in a changing climate
       
     
Conflict in a changing climate

Carleton, T.A., S.M. Hsiang, M. Burke, European Physical Journal Special Topics (2016).

Link to paper

Blog description

Climate Econometrics
       
     
Climate Econometrics

Hsiang, S.M., Annual review of Resource Economics (2016)

Link to paper

Slides on identifying the effects of climate using weather

Opportunities for advances in climate change economics
       
     
Opportunities for advances in climate change economics

 Burke, M., M. Craxton, C. D. Kolstad, C. Onda, H. Allcott, E. Baker, L. Barrage, R. Carson, K. Gillingham, J. Graf-Zivin, M. Greenstone, S. Hallegatte, W.M. Hanemann, G. Heal, S. Hsiang, B. Jones, D. L. Kelly, R. Kopp, M. Kotchen, R. Mendelsohn, K. Meng, G. Metcalf, J. Moreno-Cruz, R. Pindyck, S. Rose, I. Rudik, J. Stock, R. S. J. Tol, Science (2016)

Link to paper

Temperature and Temperament: Evidence from a billion tweets
       
     
Temperature and Temperament: Evidence from a billion tweets
Distorted Quality Signals in School Markets
       
     
Distorted Quality Signals in School Markets

J.I. Cuesta, F. González, C. Larroulet, Working Paper (2016)

Link to paper

Losing Your Dictator: Firms During Political Transition
       
     
Losing Your Dictator: Firms During Political Transition

F. González, M. Prem, Working Paper (2016)

Link to paper

Start-Up Nation? Slave Wealth and Entrepreneurship in Civil War Maryland
       
     
Start-Up Nation? Slave Wealth and Entrepreneurship in Civil War Maryland

F. González, G. Marshall, S. Naidu, Journal of Economic History, forthcoming

NBER Working Paper 22483

Link to paper

Blogs: Marginal Revolution

Tropical Cyclones: From the Influence of Climate to Their Socioeconomic Impacts
       
     
Tropical Cyclones: From the Influence of Climate to Their Socioeconomic Impacts

Camargo, S, SM Hsiang (2015) in Extreme Events: Observations, Modeling, and Economics Ed. Chavez, Ghil, & Urrutia-Fucugauchi

Link to chapter

Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus
       
     
Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus

Houser, T., R. Kopp, S.M. Hsiang, M. Delgado, A.S. Jina, K. Larsen, M. Mastrandrea, S. Mohan, R. Muir-Wood, DJ Rasmussen, J. Rising, P. Wilson, Columbia University Press (2015)

Buy on Amazon

Climateprospectus.org (data, figures, more info)

Press release

UCTV interview about the project (28 min)

Coverage: The EconomistBloombergNew York Times (alsoalso), Wall Street JournalFinancial Times (also), ForbesReutersTIMEWashington PostNational GeographicNPR (also), Wired, Technology ReviewEos400+ other outlets

Climate and Conflict
       
     
Climate and Conflict

Burke, M, SM Hsiang, E Miguel, Annual Review of Economics (2015)

Link to paper

Coverage: Washington Post, Grist, Grist (video)VICENBER DigestThink ProgressLa RepubblicaClean Technica

Geography, Depreciation, and Growth
       
     
Geography, Depreciation, and Growth

Hsiang, SM, AS Jina, American Economic Review (2015)

Link

Replication files

War and local collective action in Sierra Leone: A comment on the use of coefficient stability approaches
       
     
War and local collective action in Sierra Leone: A comment on the use of coefficient stability approaches

F. González, E. Miguel, Journal of Public Economics (2015)

Link to paper

Tropical Economics
       
     
Tropical Economics

Hsiang, SM, KC Meng, American Economic Review (2015)

Link

Appendix

Replication files

Our related op-ed

Coverage: Economist

The Causal Effect of Environmental Catastrophe on Long-Run Economic Growth: Evidence From 6,700 Cyclones
       
     
The Causal Effect of Environmental Catastrophe on Long-Run Economic Growth: Evidence From 6,700 Cyclones
Does the Environment Still Matter? Daily Temperature and Income in the United States
       
     
Does the Environment Still Matter? Daily Temperature and Income in the United States
Reconciling climate-conflict meta-analyses: reply to Buhaug et al.
       
     
Reconciling climate-conflict meta-analyses: reply to Buhaug et al.

Burke, M., S.M. Hsiang, E. Miguel, Climatic Change (2014)

Link

Coverage: Science

Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters
       
     
Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters

Bohra-Mishra, P, M Oppenheimer, SM Hsiang, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2014)

Link

Coverage: ScienceNational GeographicScientific AmericanNPR

Drug Trafficking Organizations and Local Economic Activity in Mexico
       
     
Drug Trafficking Organizations and Local Economic Activity in Mexico

F. González, PLOS ONE (2015)

Link to paper

Temperature and Violence
       
     
Temperature and Violence

Cane, M.A., E. Miguel, M. Burke, S.M. Hsiang, D.B. Lobell, K.C. Meng, S. Satyanath, Nature Climate Change (2014)

Link

Climate, Conflict and Social Stability: What does the evidence say?
       
     
Climate, Conflict and Social Stability: What does the evidence say?

Hsiang, SM, M Burke, Climatic Change (2014)

Link

Coverage: Smithsonian

Reconciling Temperature-conflict Results in Kenya
       
     
Reconciling Temperature-conflict Results in Kenya

Hsiang, S.M., M. Burke, E. Miguel, CEGA Working Paper 032 (2013)

Link

Reconciling disagreement over climate–conflict results in Africa
       
     
Reconciling disagreement over climate–conflict results in Africa

Hsiang, SM, KC Meng, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2014)

Link

Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict
       
     
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict
Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change
       
     
Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change

Auffhammer, M, SM Hsiang, W Schlenker, AH Sobel, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy (2013)

Link

NBER working paper

Destruction, Disinvestment, and Death: Economic and Human Losses Following Environmental Disaster
       
     
Destruction, Disinvestment, and Death: Economic and Human Losses Following Environmental Disaster
Visually-Weighted Regression
       
     
Visually-Weighted Regression
Adaptation to Cyclone Risk: Evidence from the Global Cross-Section
       
     
Adaptation to Cyclone Risk: Evidence from the Global Cross-Section

Hsiang, S.M., D. Narita, Climate Change Economics (2012)

Link

Nontechnical description in Earth Magazine

Coverage: Chazen Global Insights

Civil Conflicts are associated with the global climate
       
     
Civil Conflicts are associated with the global climate

Hsiang, SM, KC Meng, MA Cane, Nature (2011)

Link

News and Views by Andrew Solow

Nature Editorial

Supplementary Information Appendix (6M)

replication data and code (zipped, runs in STATA 11) (CSV, data only)

table of teleconnected and weakly-affect countries with GWNO codes (CSVSTATA)

grid of pixel assignments to teleconnected or weakly-affected coding (MATLABEXCELCSV) to remake Figure 1A

Google Earth file of ENSO teleconnections (data on cover image)

video to visualize ENSO teleconnections (MOV [10M], YouTube), PDF of images (10M)

Selected coverage: NPRThe Economist, BBC (World ServiceprintBBC4), Washington PostFinancial TimesThe New York TimesThe GuardianCNNTIME,  CBC (printradio), ReutersAFP, Technology ReviewThe IndependentVoice of AmericaThe WorldSlateScientific AmericanThe AustralianGuangming DailyL'ExpressLa StampaSpiegelÉpocaABCScienceNature Climate ChangeSignificance MagazineGlobal Postother coverage (press release)

Can Land Reform Avoid a Left Turn? Evidence from Chile after the Cuban Revolution
       
     
Can Land Reform Avoid a Left Turn? Evidence from Chile after the Cuban Revolution

F. González, The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy (2013)

Link to paper

Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America
       
     
Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America
Local Impacts of Trade Liberalization: Evidence from the Chilean Agricultural Sector
       
     
Local Impacts of Trade Liberalization: Evidence from the Chilean Agricultural Sector

J.I. Cuesta, F. Gallego, F. González, In Economic Policy in Emerging-Market Economies (2015)

Link to paper